STRATEGY

Debunking the “Giannis Offense”: A Critical Look at the Video’s Claims

The video “The Giannis Offense: How a New Style Took Over the NBA” boldly asserts that a revolutionary basketball strategy—coined the “Giannis offence”—emerged around 2019 and has since transformed the NBA. It credits Giannis Antetokounmpo and coach Mike Budenholzer with pioneering a system where big, athletic, non-shooting forwards initiate from outside, leveraging modern spacing to attack downhill. While the video’s enthusiasm for Giannis’ impact is infectious, its arguments crumble under scrutiny. From exaggerated claims of novelty to shaky stats and historical revisionism, this piece is more hype than substance. Let’s tear it apart.

Claim 1: A “Completely New Offence” Born in 2019

The video’s cornerstone is that Giannis and Budenholzer unleashed a “completely new offence” in 2019, driven by spacing and downhill attacks from big forwards. This is a stretch. The idea of a big man handling the ball and attacking from the perimeter isn’t new—it’s been evolving for decades. The video itself admits this, citing LeBron James as a “prototype” with his 2007 playoff drives and 2014 inverted pick-and-rolls in Miami. If LeBron was doing it 12 years earlier, how “new” can this be?

What’s really happening here is an evolution, not a revolution. The NBA’s spacing boom—fuelled by the three-point explosion—started well before 2019. The 2014-15 Golden State Warriors, with their small-ball lineups and Draymond Green initiating from the top, were already exploiting space for downhill drives. The video glosses over this, cherry-picking 2019 as a starting point because it aligns with Giannis’ first MVP season. But correlation isn’t causation. Spacing and transition attacks were trending league-wide; Giannis just rode the wave. And if anything his change of style these past seasons show that even Giannis has given up, focusing more on stat padding by going to the rim.

Claim 2: Giannis’ Screening Drop Proves the Shift

The video touts a stat: Giannis went from setting 26 screens per 100 possessions in 2017 to 9 in 2019, implying this reflects a radical shift to a “downhill” role. This sounds compelling—until you dig into it. Screening stats are notoriously context-dependent. In 2017, under Jason Kidd, the Bucks ran a clunky, post-heavy offence with Giannis often parked near the paint. By 2019, Budenholzer’s system emphasised pace and space, reducing Giannis’ need to screen because shooters like Brook Lopez pulled defenders away. And let’s be honest, years later, Giannis can’t screen. In fact non cherry picked data from basketball Index show him to be one of the worse on ball screeners in the league. He simply doesn’t understand angles.

But here’s the kicker: Giannis’ screening drop doesn’t uniquely signal a “new offence.” Bigs across the league set fewer screens as spacing increased. Per NBA tracking data (available through 2025), screen frequency for forwards league-wide dipped as teams prioritised early offence over half-court sets. Giannis’ numbers reflect a league trend, not a bespoke innovation. The video’s stat is a flashy distraction, not proof.

Claim 3: The “Giannis Offense” Is Distinct from Guard-Led Systems

The video contrasts Giannis’ style with guard-led offences (e.g., Steph Curry or Damian Lillard pulling up from deep), framing it as a “big man who couldn’t shoot” flipping the script. This oversimplifies things. Giannis’ downhill attacks rely on the same principles as guard-led systems: spacing, transition, and exploiting mismatches. The difference is scale, not substance. Curry uses speed and shooting; Giannis uses length and power. Both thrive because defences are stretched thin by the three-point line. After all the Bucks always had the best 3point shooting around Giannis in order to work. (Even if he is heading for the worse 3pt% season in NBA history this year!)

The video’s insistence on a binary—guards shoot, bigs slash—ignores overlap. LeBron, a big wing, shot jumpers and attacked downhill. Anthony Davis, a centre, has run pick-and-rolls as a ball-handler since his New Orleans days. The “Giannis offence” isn’t a distinct species; it’s a variation on a theme the NBA’s been playing since the mid-2010s.

Claim 4: Historical Examples Support the Narrative

The video name-drops Michael Jordan (1991 Finals) and LeBron (2007 vs. Detroit) as precursors, suggesting their downhill drives planted seeds for Giannis. This is historical cherry-picking at its finest. Jordan’s drive was a clutch iso play, not a system. LeBron’s Game 5 heroics leaned on spacing, sure, but he was a one-man show, not a template for bigs. These moments don’t foreshadow a “Giannis offense”—they’re just great players making great plays.

Meanwhile, the video skips real antecedents. What about Magic Johnson, a 6’9” point guard who ran transition attacks in the 1980s? Or Charles Barkley, bulldozing downhill in Phoenix’s fast-paced 1990s system? The NBA’s had big, athletic ball-handlers attacking space forever. Giannis refined it, but he didn’t invent it. And there is a reason Giannis is getting worse at almost everything from a stat point of view: it was not sustainable.

Claim 5: 12% of 2025 Possessions Prove Its Rise

The video cites “tracking data” claiming 12% of NBA possessions in 2025 involve a forward or centre running an inverted pick-and-roll or iso drive, with teams like the Grizzlies (19%) and 2021 Pelicans (20%) leading the charge. This sounds precise—until you realise it’s flimsy. First, it’s unclear what “tracking data” means (no source is given). Second, 12% isn’t an “explosion”—it’s a modest slice of a league still dominated by pick-and-rolls (over 50% of possessions, per public stats).

The Grizzlies and Pelicans examples don’t help. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Zion Williamson are downhill threats, but their teams blend this with traditional actions. Memphis leans on Ja Morant’s pick-and-roll wizardry; New Orleans pairs Zion with shooters like CJ McCollum. The “Giannis offence” isn’t taking over—it’s a complementary tool, not a paradigm shift.

Claim 6: Non-Shooters Uniquely Benefit

The video argues this style is “the other side of the shooting revolution,” where non-shooters like Giannis thrive with space. This is half-true but overstated. Non-shooters benefit from spacing—duh. But the video ignores how defences adapt. In the 2019 playoffs, Toronto’s “Giannis rules” (walling off the paint) exposed his lack of a jumper. Even if he had improved as a passer, non-shooters still hit ceilings in half-court settings. The 2021 Finals kickouts the video praises? That’s Giannis adapting to old-school defence, not a new offence breaking the mould.

Simmons’ decline—blamed on “back pain and free throw phobia”—further undermines this. His downhill game faltered not just from injury, but because teams sagged off him, daring him to shoot. Non-shooters need elite skills elsewhere to make this work. It’s not a universal hack. This season much fuss has been made about Giannis supposed mid range, pick a lane!

Claim 7: Modern Examples Validate the Trend

The video lists Zion, Jaren Jackson Jr., Deni Avdija, Jonathan Kuminga, and others as “disciples” of this offence. This is a grab-bag of players with different styles. Zion’s a bulldozer, yes, but his injuries and team context limit the comparison. Jackson Jr. shoots 35% from three—hardly a non-shooter. Avdija’s “turbo” drives are fun, but Portland’s offence doesn’t revolve around him. Kuminga’s vision struggles (noted in the video) make him a poor fit for the play making this supposedly demands.

These players use spacing to attack, sure. But calling it a cohesive “Giannis offence” is forced. Pascal Siakam turning his back to the basket? That’s post play, not downhill slashing. Evan Mobley and Anthony Davis running inverted pick-and-rolls? That’s just good coaching, not a new gospel.

The Real Story: Evolution, Not Invention

Here’s the truth: Giannis is a freak with size and speed. Budenholzer’s system—pace, three-point shooting, and early offence—amplified him. But this isn’t a “new offence” born in 2019. It’s an adaptation of trends (spacing, transition, versatility) that were already reshaping the NBA. The video’s narrative is a tidy story, but it’s built on hype, selective stats, and a shaky grasp of history.

Why This Matters

This video isn’t malicious—it’s just sloppy. It’s the kind of content that sounds smart until you poke at it. In 2025, with data and film at our fingertips, we deserve better than overblown claims and mattress ads masquerading as analysis. Giannis was incredible; but his impact is diminishing in modern NBA basketball. As I argue in this blog every day, the championship was an incredible fluke. A lucky outlier. Since then Giannis has never proven himself when it really counts. Hell, I seriously believe he has faked his injuries to avoid seeming a fool in the playoffs. Teams can shut him down, hell, you don’t even need a wall anymore, just one defender that knows Giannis’ two and only moves. Anyone want to rewatch Draymond Green on him recently?

So let’s not rewrite basketball history to sell a narrative—or a hybrid firm mattress.

———-Comments on the video comments – a summary with my take ———————–

Giannis: A One-Dimensional Crutch for Non-Shooters

@chickenfriedlobster claims Giannis has “transformed” how big men play, but what’s really transformed here? He’s just a tall guy who can’t shoot, leaning on modern spacing to mask his limitations. LeBron, as @solidussly7 and @timlett99 note, did this with a jumper and elite passing—Giannis is a poor man’s version, exploiting a gimmick that only works because defences are handcuffed by today’s rules (@nydibs credits defensive 3-seconds, not skill). @sebastianleung2897 hails his ball-handling and finishing, but isn’t that just athleticism papering over a lack of real guard skills? This “revolution” feels like a lifeline for players too stubborn to develop a shot.

A Flashy Fad, Not a Foundation

The video traces this downhill style to LeBron and Jordan (@Tomtainius), but @17thN.O’s “7-foot Russell Westbrook” jab under Budenholzer stings—Giannis is a transition bully, not a tactician. @Mitthrawnudo asks about Chet and Wemby, but Chet’s barely used this way, and Wemby’s too smart to lean on such a basic play. Even @Mitthrawnudo prefers Franz Wagner’s finesse over Paolo Banchero’s plodding—Giannis’s “offence” might already be passé. @Homer-OJ-Simpson ties it to lax rules (no hand-checking, extra steps), suggesting it’s less innovation, more loophole exploitation.

The “Disciples”: Pale Imitations

The comment section’s obsession with Giannis’s “disciples” feels desperate. @Fahronaces mentions Jalen Johnson, but injuries derailed that. @Damasen13 wants Bam Adebayo in this role, yet Miami’s smarter than that (@jady4L ties Bam to Draymond, not Giannis). @TheNamesDitto and @VitalyGutkovich prop up Deni Avdija, but “Turbo” sounds more like a marketing ploy than a threat (@GG-vl7rn). @fresnoniiji clings to Jonathan Kuminga’s potential, but @vicvinegarLLC’s “hold right trigger” dig exposes his brainless aggression. @smz257’s Scottie Barnes take reeks of wishful thinking—Giannis with LeBron’s passing? Please. Giannis has the worse assist to turnover ratio in the league. Even @jdrmanmusiqking’s Tyreke Evans nod implies Giannis stole the act.

Underrated? Or Overrated?

Fans like @ualreadykno2K (third in MVP races) and @Apcjrahdocr (tier 1 for seven seasons) prop up Giannis’s consistency, but @nile1790’s 30-11-6 stat feels hollow—where’s the hardware? He crumbles when it counts. @constablekennedy7705 and @johndenver7035 cry “slept on,” yet @colewrld901 lists endless excuses: injuries, Middleton, Dame. @SwashBuckler311 compares him to Kareem, but one ring doesn’t match that legacy. @nigelee and @kumpadri marvel at his strides, but @stevenwhiters8928’s coordination point cuts both ways—most 6’11” guys don’t need to dribble because they have actual skills.

Tactical Hype Outpaces Reality

@Tomtainius loves the inverted pick-and-roll, but it’s a highlight reel crutch, not genius. @vanhoot2234’s handle focus ignores Giannis’s clunky decision-making. @bnsz8704 and @pinobluevogel6458 laud spacing evolution, but @loooooop-2’s SGA twist shows smaller guys do it better. @Apcjrahdocr’s Mobley-JJJ fantasy is a pipe dream—Giannis’s system collapses with another non-shooter (@video). @bubasaba credits Jason Kidd, but Budenholzer’s the one stuck with this one-note plan (@kumpadri).

A Fading Freak Show

@deetschicken’s praise for Thinking Basketball’s innovation-spotting feels misplaced—this “offence” is a footnote, not a chapter (@Ljrubbo1). @aryamanmani4025 and @bradenstewart6270 fawn over the ad and delivery, but the substance? Thin. @dennisrossonero calls it a legacy, but @SapienGalore’s “too many 3s” jab hints at a league moving on. Giannis is a freak (@ShakataelBebesito), but @waff6ix’s “best PF ever” take over Duncan or KG is laughable. This is less revolution, more a temporary exploit—soon, defences will adjust, and the “Giannis Offense” will be a relic.

Let me just add, it’s not “soon” it’s here already. Giannis is obsolete.

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