Greek Freak Analyzed

Tag: clutch

  • Season analysis: Giannis kills the Bucks in the 4th quarter!

    Season analysis: Giannis kills the Bucks in the 4th quarter!

    Over the last regular season, Milwaukee frequently began the final period with Giannis on the bench due to rotation planning under Coach Doc Rivers. During these stretches, the Bucks’ offense has shown surprising efficiency, posting positive net ratings and often building or maintaining leads before Giannis returns. Observers have noticed that lineups featuring Damian Lillard, or in the past Khris Middleton, and Brook Lopez allow for more spacing and ball movement, as the team often leans into a pick-and-roll-heavy approach and quick perimeter offence.

    • Three-point shooting success and better ball movement often mark these Giannis-less stretches, with role players stepping up to maintain pace and defensive intensity.
    • Milwaukee’s defensive rebounding and transition play also tend to improve, leading to quick scoring bursts that frustrate opponents.

    Substitution Patterns and Mid-Quarter Swings

    Midway through the fourth, Giannis is typically reintroduced, intended to stabilize and close out tight games. However, this move sometimes coincides with a downturn in offensive momentum:

    • Opponent defenses collapse in the paint, limiting Giannis’s drives.
    • Bucks’ spacing decreases as Giannis operates inside, sometimes attracting double teams and leading to stagnant perimeter offense.
    • Several game logs and fan recaps highlight occasions where the Bucks’ lead diminishes following Giannis’ return, as opponents ramp up their scoring against reconfigured rotations.

    Teams adjust their coverage, intensity increases, and Milwaukee sometimes struggles with late-game execution and turnovers. Giannis doesn’t adapt. He can’t.

    Game Examples and Fan Frustration

    In the February 20th game against the Clippers, for example, Milwaukee surged in the early fourth quarter while Giannis was under a minutes restriction. The supporting cast led a rally that was only challenged once Giannis returned, with the Clippers mounting a comeback. Similar patterns have been documented on Bucks fan forums, sparking debate about substitution timing and the best offensive approach in high-stakes moments.

    • Many fans attribute this trend to Doc Rivers’ rotations, which sometimes disrupt offensive rhythm and make the Bucks more predictable late in games. This is a completely inaccurate take.
    • The frustration is amplified when Giannis’s re-entry is followed by scoring droughts or failed defensive stands. Which is not a random event. It happens everytime. Giannis is a ball hog and there is no advanced system he understands.

    Understanding the Phenomenon: Beyond the Numbers

    Statistically, Milwaukee’s net rating overall is higher with Giannis on the floor, but the nuance of fourth-quarter substitution patterns paints a more complex picture. These situational surges reflect not a flaw in Giannis, but the multifaceted nature of NBA lineup chemistry:

    • Role players thrive in the open system created by Giannis’s absence, taking on greater playmaking duty and spreading the floor.
    • Defences are less able to load up in the paint, freeing shooters and creating rapid ball movement sequences.

    So yes, Giannis is the problem

    While the Bucks are generally stronger with Giannis, the fourth quarter “surge-then-slowdown” phenomenon is real and supported by both game logs and widespread fan observation. This nuance should inform future coaching decisions, with a blend of non-Giannis lineups and better-utilized closing rotations potentially unlocking Milwaukee’s explosive late-game potential.

    By understanding why and how these patterns emerge, fans and analysts gain a richer picture of the Bucks’ crunch time identity in a season defined by fascinating ups and downs.Recent Bucks seasons have featured a surprising trend: Milwaukee often performs better during the opening minutes of the fourth quarter when Giannis Antetokounmpo is on the bench, only to see momentum shift after he returns. This phenomenon, widely discussed in fan forums and supported by select game logs, raises questions about rotation strategy, offensive chemistry, and Milwaukee’s best crunch-time approach.

    How This Trend Plays Out

    Doc Rivers’ substitution patterns often have Giannis resting to start the fourth quarter. During these minutes, the Bucks’ lineup—with Lillard, Middleton, Lopez, and agile reserves—tends to play faster, lean into high-volume three-point shooting, and show improved ball movement. Their defensive rebounding also stabilizes, fueling quick transition buckets. Multiple times last season, these lineups outperformed the opposition, either growing leads or closing deficits.

    • Bucks role players take on greater offensive responsibility, exploiting space and pick-and-roll mismatches.
    • Transition play and perimeter shooting become more prominent, reducing opponent scoring and sometimes flipping the momentum.

    The Giannis Re-Entry Paradox

    As Giannis checks in midway through the fourth, a pattern emerges: opposing teams often ramp up scoring and Milwaukee’s offensive flow can stall. With Giannis on the floor, defenses collapse into the paint, sometimes bogging down the Bucks’ spacing and making ball movement more predictable. Whether the issue is increased defensive attention, fatigue, or sluggish rotations, the Bucks’ net rating tends to stall or even decline during these minutes. Games such as the February 20th win over the Clippers exemplify this—Milwaukee’s best fourth-quarter surge came while Giannis was resting, and the lead diminished after his return.

    • Defensive urgency from opponents increases during Giannis stints in the closing minutes.
    • Bucks struggle to get open looks and sometimes post lower fourth-quarter shooting percentages.
    • Giannis goes to his predictable moves the more desperate he gets. It doesn’t work.

    Fan Reaction and Debate

    Fan frustration over Doc Rivers’ rotation decisions became a consistent storyline. Many Bucks followers pointed out that Milwaukee’s quick ball movement and balanced scoring work optimally when Giannis is off the floor, while reintroducing him late can slow the offense and invite comeback runs from opponents. Whether the cause is substitution rhythm, defensive adjustment, or playcalling, the fourth-quarter splits remain a major point of discussion.

    Interpreting the Data

    While overall net ratings heavily favour Giannis’ presence across the season, these fourth-quarter bursts—when the game is fast and Giannis is off the floor—reveal the complexity of crunch-time basketball. The Bucks are not truly “better” overall without Giannis, but they do have specialised situations where secondary lineups generate unique advantages, and understanding these moments could help the team optimise future closing rotations. Giannis is not known for his basketball IQ nor for quick thinking in clutch situations. He often makes mistakes, turnovers and he can’t screen to save his life. Let him play his heart out in the easier games and easier situations.

    This recurring fourth-quarter story is more than just anecdotal: it’s a tactical subplot that continues to shape Milwaukee’s late-game identity. By learning from these patterns, the Bucks could unlock even greater closing efficiency—combining Giannis’s strengths with lineups that maximise ball movement and outside shooting in the game’s most pivotal moments. But it is safe to say they can keep him on the bench longer. It would be great if they could copy what coach Spanoulis did with him in the Greek National team but truth be told it would not work with the much higher level of play in the NBA where more players can shut down Giannis effectively on their own.

  • How much worse is Giannis when the going gets tough?

    How much worse is Giannis when the going gets tough?

    It is easily measurable. His overall field goal percentage (FG%) decreases from 55.1% in the regular season to 53.2% in the playoffs. More pronounced drops are observed in his perimeter shooting and free throw accuracy. His three-point percentage (FG3%) falls from 28.4% in the regular season to 25.9% in the playoffs. The most significant decline is seen in his free throw percentage (FT%), which drops from 69.3% in the regular season to 62.5% in the playoffs. Consequently, his effective field goal percentage (eFG%), which accounts for the added value of three-pointers, also decreases from 57.0% to 55.1%.  

    These declines in key shooting efficiency metrics strongly support the hypothesis regarding a deterioration in shooting performance when the competition intensifies. The consistent reduction in accuracy from beyond the arc and at the free-throw line, despite his increased offensive volume, suggests that while he attempts to do more, the quality of his outside shots or execution under heightened pressure may be compromised. This indicates a clear vulnerability that opposing defences can exploit in high-stakes playoff environments.

    Due to lack of bag he doesn’t really have a way to dictate what shots he takes. Compare regular season shooting by distances to the playoffs. Critically, his career playoff three-point percentage drops to 25.9% on a slightly increased share of attempts (14.9%).

    The most pronounced and consistent decline is observed in his three-point shooting and, as previously

    noted, his free-throw percentage. The slight increase in mid-range attempts during the playoffs could suggest that defensive strategies are more successful in forcing him away from his preferred at-rim scoring, compelling him to take more shots from these less efficient areas. The consistent drop in perimeter and free-throw shooting in the playoffs points to a critical area where opposing defences can effectively limit Giannis’s offensive versatility. By daring him to shoot from outside or fouling him, defences can force him into less efficient scoring methods, even if he still manages to generate high volume. This clearly demonstrates a causal relationship: increased defensive pressure in the playoffs leads to lower efficiency in his weaker shooting areas.

    Even in the regular season however Giannis suffers. For the purpose of this analysis, “harder” regular season opponents are defined as teams with a winning percentage above.500. Conversely, “easier” opponents would typically be teams with a winning percentage below.500.

    The significant drops in his overall Field Goal Percentage, Three-Point Percentage, and Free Throw Percentage in the playoffs highlight a clear vulnerability. Giannis is clearly past his prime of 5 years ago.

    Even at the rim he is getting worse.

    In his 2018-19 MVP campaign, he averaged 1.5 blocks and 1.3 steals per game. He is down in both these as he focuses more on personal stat padding than the team quite obviously. In defence he is simply prowling out of position looking for a highlight video. Giannis is clearly a player that is past him prime. Worse still he isn’t adding anything to his game. So when it counts opponents neutralise him. Or worse still, they let him get his 30 points for bragging rights but the way he is forced to play destroys his team’s chances of winning.

  • Why Giannis Struggles in Clutch Situations

    Why Giannis Struggles in Clutch Situations

    Giannis Antetokounmpo, the “Greek Freak,” is a two-time MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, and NBA champion. However, when the game is on the line—those critical “clutch” moments in the final minutes of a close game—Giannis has often been criticised for underperforming. His fans keep talking about that (one) 50 point performance. But they choose to ignore the true story.

    Defining Clutch Situations

    For clarity, “clutch” situations in this context refer to the last five minutes of a game (including overtime) where the score is within five points. This is a standard metric used by NBA analysts to evaluate performance under pressure. While Giannis excels in many facets of the game, his clutch-time performance has drawn scrutiny, particularly in high-stakes playoff games.

    The Numbers: Giannis in the Clutch

    To understand Giannis’ clutch performance, let’s look at some statistics. According to NBA.com’s advanced stats for the 2023-24 season, Giannis’ clutch-time performance reveals some concerning trends:

    • Field Goal Percentage (FG%): In clutch situations, Giannis shot 42.3% from the field, significantly lower than his season average of 61.1%. His efficiency drops when defenses tighten up.
    • Free Throw Shooting: Giannis’ free throw percentage in clutch moments was a dismal 58.7%, compared to his season average of 65.7%. This is particularly problematic since he often gets to the line in high-pressure situations.
    • Turnovers: Giannis averaged 1.2 turnovers per clutch game, a higher rate than his overall 3.4 turnovers per game, suggesting he struggles with decision-making under pressure.
    • Usage Rate: Giannis had a clutch usage rate of 38.2%, meaning he’s heavily involved in the Bucks’ offense during these moments, but his efficiency doesn’t match his volume.

    In the playoffs, these issues become magnified. For example, in the 2023 NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat, Giannis shot 2-for-7 (28.6%) in clutch situations and missed several key free throws, contributing to Milwaukee’s first-round exit. Over his playoff career, his clutch FG% sits at 39.8%, and his free throw percentage drops to 55.4%.

    Why Does Giannis Struggle in the Clutch?

    Several factors contribute to Giannis’ challenges in high-pressure situations. Let’s break them down:

    1. Limited Jump Shooting

    Giannis is a force in the paint, using his length and athleticism to dominate around the rim. However, his lack of a reliable jump shot—particularly from mid-range or beyond the arc—becomes a liability in clutch moments. Defenses often sag off him, daring him to shoot from outside. In the 2023-24 season, Giannis shot just 27.4% from three-point range and 34.1% on mid-range jumpers. In clutch situations, when defenses pack the paint or build a “wall” (a strategy popularized by the Toronto Raptors in 2019), Giannis struggles to create clean looks.

    2. Free Throw Woes

    Giannis’ free throw shooting has long been a weak point. His unorthodox, lengthy free throw routine (often exceeding the 10-second limit) seems to falter under pressure. In clutch situations, opponents frequently employ a “Hack-a-Giannis” strategy, fouling him intentionally to exploit his poor free throw shooting. Missing free throws in tight games not only costs points but also saps momentum and confidence.

    3. Decision-Making Under Pressure

    While Giannis is an excellent playmaker, averaging 5.9 assists per game in 2023-24, his decision-making in clutch moments can be erratic. He often forces drives into crowded defenses, leading to turnovers or low-percentage shots. In high-pressure situations, his tendency to over-penetrate rather than kick out to open teammates (like Damian Lillard or Khris Middleton) can stall the Bucks’ offense. For example, in Game 5 of the 2021 NBA Finals, Giannis had two turnovers in the final two minutes, nearly costing Milwaukee a pivotal game.

    4. Defensive Attention

    In clutch situations, opponents can focus their entire defensive scheme on stopping Giannis. Double-teams, triple-teams, and zone defenses are common, as teams are less concerned about role players in these moments. While Giannis is adept at handling double-teams in the regular season, the intensity of playoff defenses—combined with his limited outside shooting—makes it harder for him to find space.

    5. Lack of a Go-To Move

    Unlike clutch performers like Kevin Durant (pull-up jumper), Damian Lillard (deep three), or LeBron James (versatile scoring and playmaking), Giannis lacks a singular, reliable move in crunch time. His game is built on physicality and transition opportunities, but in half-court, high-pressure situations, he often resorts to bulldozing drives that are easier to defend when the game slows down.

    Playoff Case Studies

    Let’s examine two playoff series that underscore Giannis’ clutch struggles:

    2020 Eastern Conference Semifinals vs. Miami Heat

    In this series, the Heat’s zone defense and physicality flustered Giannis. In Game 4, with the Bucks trailing by 3 in the final minute, Giannis missed two free throws and turned the ball over on a forced drive, sealing Miami’s victory. He shot 1-for-5 in clutch situations across the series, with three turnovers.

    2023 First Round vs. Miami Heat

    Despite a heroic 38-point performance in Game 4, Giannis’ clutch miscues were costly. In the final minute of a tied game, he missed a contested layup and went 0-for-2 from the free throw line, allowing Miami to pull ahead. His clutch FG% in the series was 28.6%, and he missed 7 of 12 free throws in clutch moments.

    How Can Giannis Improve?

    For Giannis to become a more reliable clutch performer, several adjustments could help:

    1. Develop a Jump Shot: Even a consistent mid-range jumper would force defenses to respect his outside game, opening up driving lanes.
    2. Improve Free Throw Shooting: Simplifying his routine and practicing under pressure could boost his confidence at the line.
    3. Better Decision-Making: Giannis should trust his teammates more in clutch moments, especially shooters like Lillard and Middleton.
    4. Work on a Go-To Move: Developing a reliable fadeaway or post move could give him a fallback option when drives are cut off.

    Giannis ain’t clutch and probably never will be

    Giannis Antetokounmpo’s clutch-time struggles are a notable blemish which effectively make him useless for a team chasing a championship. Worse than useless, he is a liability. His lack of a jump shot, poor free throw shooting, and questionable decision-making in high-pressure moments have cost the Bucks in key games, particularly in the playoffs. He has rarely shown flashes of clutch ability, consistency remains elusive. With targeted improvements, Giannis could perhaps at least become less of a liability for his team. For now, though, the “Greek Freak” will keep hiding behind his team mates and pretending there is no problem.

    All statistics are sourced from NBA.com and Basketball-Reference for the 2023-24 season and prior playoff performances.

  • Why was Giannis on the floor in overtime of Game 5?

    Why was Giannis on the floor in overtime of Game 5?

    The Milwaukee Bucks’ 2025 NBA Playoff run came to a heartbreaking end on April 29, 2025, with a 119-118 overtime loss to the Indiana Pacers in Game 5 of their first-round series. Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks’ two-time MVP and perennial All-NBA star, delivered a monster performance on paper, posting a 30-point, 20-rebound triple-double. Yet, despite his gaudy stat line, a closer examination of his play in the critical overtime period reveals that he was a liability on both ends of the floor.

    The Context: A Game of Momentum Swings

    Game 5 was a rollercoaster, with the Bucks jumping out to a 13-0 lead, only for the Pacers to storm back from a 20-point deficit. The game was tied at 103 after regulation, thanks in part to Giannis missing a 16-foot turnaround jumper at the buzzer—a shot that, while within his skill set, was a low-percentage look under pressure. In overtime, the Bucks held a 118-111 lead with just 40 seconds remaining, but Indiana mounted an 8-0 run to steal the game, capped by Tyrese Haliburton’s game-winning layup with one second left. Giannis, who played all five minutes of overtime, was at the center of Milwaukee’s collapse.

    Defensive Liability: Failing to Contain Haliburton

    Defensively, Giannis is sometimes a force. Well, he used to be. His length, athleticism, and instincts make him a former Defensive Player of the Year and a constant disruptor. However, in overtime, he looked gassed and was repeatedly exposed, particularly by Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton. Posts on social media captured the sentiment of fans and analysts who watched the game closely, with one user noting, “Giannis didn’t adjust his defense, kept getting baited into committing, and then he has no help defense once he gets blown by”. This critique is spot-on.

    The game’s defining moment came on Haliburton’s game-winning layup. With 17 seconds left, Andrew Nembhard hit a 33-foot three-pointer to cut the Bucks’ lead to one. On the ensuing possession, Gary Trent Jr. fumbled a pass out of bounds, giving Indiana the ball back. Haliburton, guarded by Giannis, shook him with a hesitation move, drove left past him “like he was standing still” , and laid the ball in over Brook Lopez for the 119-118 lead. Giannis’ inability to stay in front of Haliburton was inexcusable for a player of his caliber. His fatigue was evident—he played 44 minutes total, including the entire fourth quarter and overtime —and it showed in his sluggish lateral movement. Gianni’s is never fast in these situations but here it was just plain epic stupidity to get outplayed in the same way multiple times and not change anything. Doing the same thing and expecting a different outcome is a sure sign of extremely low intelligence.

    Earlier in overtime, the Bucks also suffered from defensive breakdowns, with Doc Rivers pointing to Nembhard’s deep three as a “key play”. While Giannis wasn’t directly guarding Nembhard, his role as a help defender was critical, and he failed to rotate effectively. The Pacers’ ability to exploit Milwaukee’s defense in overtime was a team-wide issue, but Giannis, as the anchor, bore significant responsibility. His energy levels appeared depleted, and his defensive awareness waned at the worst possible time.

    Could another player have fared better? The Bucks’ starting lineup included Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green, and Bobby Portis, with Brook Lopez as a rim-protecting option off the bench. Trent, who led the team with two steals per game, or even a fresher wing like AJ Green could have taken on Haliburton. Green, who played 46 minutes, was part of the lineup that forced a shot-clock violation early in the game, suggesting he had the defensive chops to at least contest Haliburton’s drives. While no one on the roster matches Giannis’ defensive upside, his exhaustion made him a net negative in this scenario.

    Offensive Struggles: Limited Impact in Crunch Time

    Offensively, Giannis was similarly ineffective in overtime. He scored just two points on two shot attempts, grabbed four rebounds, and dished out two assists. While these numbers aren’t terrible in a vacuum, they pale in comparison to his overall game impact and highlight his limitations in high-stakes, half-court situations. Fans on X were harsh, with one stating, “Giannis has always been helpless in crunch time when he can’t run and dunk”. This criticism, while hyperbolic, points to a recurring issue: Giannis’ game is less effective when the pace slows and defenses tighten.

    In regulation, Giannis had a chance to win the game but “threw up a laughable brick” on a fadeaway jumper. This miss set the tone for his overtime performance, where he failed to assert himself as a scorer. The Bucks’ offense relied heavily on Gary Trent Jr., who nailed four three-pointers in overtime, including multiple contested looks. Trent’s hot shooting nearly saved Milwaukee, but the team’s two turnovers in the final 30 seconds—culminating in Trent’s fumble—sealed their fate. Giannis, as the primary ball-handler in “Point Giannis” mode, didn’t create enough to compensate for these miscues.

    Giannis’ offensive limitations are well-documented. His midrange game, while improved, remains inconsistent, and his three-point shooting is nonexistent (0-for-1 in Game 4, per). In overtime, the Pacers packed the paint, daring him to shoot or pass out to shooters. With Damian Lillard sidelined for the series, Giannis lacked a reliable pick-and-roll partner to break down Indiana’s defense. His 13 assists for the game show his playmaking ability, but in overtime, he couldn’t generate high-quality looks when it mattered most.

    Contrast this with Haliburton, who scored Indiana’s last five points in overtime, including the game-winner, and their last eight in regulation. The Pacers’ offense flowed through their star, who was “unafraid” and made plays in clutch moments. Milwaukee needed Giannis to match that intensity, but he couldn’t. A player like Kevin Porter Jr., who played 47 minutes and had shown scoring flashes in the series, might have offered a spark as a secondary creator, even if his decision-making is less polished.

    The Root Cause was not fatigue

    He logged 44 minutes, second only to Trent’s 48 among Bucks starters. Posts on social media noted that “Giannis looked gassed all five minutes” in overtime, while the Pacers “had the energy to play ten more”. But those are pathetic excuses. Even 40 year old LeBron James played a whole half with no break and was a monster on both ends. Gianni’s is only 30 and boasts about his physical conditioning, you can’t just pretend he lost it all of a sudden. No, these issues have plagued Giannis in every important match up and I pointed them all out months ago.

    The emphasis on his numbers in total ignores the reality of playoff NBA basketball. Giannis’ stat-stuffing didn’t translate to winning plays in overtime. All season they haven’t, the Bucks have not beat any of the top seeded teams in the East. Giannis gets amazing stats, the team fails. We have seen this before and it’s on Giannis, not the rest of the roster. His defensive lapses and offensive passivity were glaring, and the Bucks’ collapse—blowing a seven-point lead in 40 seconds—demanded a tactical adjustment. It is unfair to talk about Rivers’ refusal to adapt, since we all know Giannis demands to be on court in these games. Giannis handed the Pacers the momentum they needed to close out the series.

    Game 5’s overtime exposed his vulnerabilities. Defensively, he couldn’t contain Haliburton or anchor the team’s scheme. Offensively, he was limited to two points and failed to create when the Bucks needed it most. It is also completely unfair to blame the Bucks’ lack of depth. That is Giannis fault for not giving them more chances in the regular season. He is too busy stat padding even in garbage time of blowout wins. As Giannis himself said postgame, he needs to “look in the mirror” and improve. After 3 years of early playoff exits we are not seen any improvement. Obviously Giannis doesn’t have any good mirrors around him, just people that suck up to him.

  • 5 Clutch Situation Scenarios that should scare the Bucks

    5 Clutch Situation Scenarios that should scare the Bucks

    When the game tightens up—when it’s the final minutes, the score’s close, and every possession counts—Giannis’s weaknesses can turn from minor quirks into glaring liabilities. Let me be specific:

    Scenario 1: Down 2, 20 Seconds Left, Ball in Giannis’s Hands

    Picture this: The Bucks are trailing by two points with 20 seconds on the clock. Giannis has the ball at the top of the key, the defence sagging off him, daring him to shoot. His career 28.6% from three-point range isn’t scaring anyone, and his mid range game isn’t a go-to weapon either (he shot 41.7% from 10-16 feet in 2023-24, per NBA.com). The opposing team knows he wants to drive, so they pack the paint, sending a double-team to clog his lane.

    Here’s the problem: Giannis isn’t a natural pull-up shooter or a quick-trigger play maker. He might force a contested layup (where his 50% clutch field goal percentage from last season holds up decently), but if the help defence rotates, he’s left passing late to a teammate with no rhythm—think Brook Lopez bricking a rushed three. Worse, if he gets fouled on the drive, his 70.2% career free-throw clip (and 66.7% in clutch regular-season moments) isn’t a lock. A miss there, and the game’s over. His lack of a jump shot and shaky free throws make this a dicey spot. And all too often he takes the bait and either shoots a 3 or goes to the other side of the paint where he misses almost always.

    Scenario 2: Tied Game, 10 Seconds Left, Inbound to Giannis

    Now imagine a tie game, 10 seconds remaining, and the Bucks inbound to Giannis in the half-court. The defence knows Milwaukee wants him to attack the rim, so they build a wall—think Miami’s 2023 playoff strategy, where Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler funnelled him into traffic. Giannis’s Eurostep and spin moves are lethal in transition, but in a set defence with no runway, his options shrink.

    His play making under pressure is a weak spot here. Giannis averaged 1.0 assist per clutch game in 2023-24, with a 1.5 assist-to-turnover ratio—not terrible, but not elite. He’s not LeBron, threading needles to open shooters, or Jokić, picking apart defences with surgical passes. If he can’t bulldoze his way to the rim (and at 40% in the 2023 playoffs, that’s no guarantee), he might cough up a turnover or settle for a low-percentage kick out. The clock ticks down, and the Bucks’ title hopes fade with it. All too often his passes are terrible, ie not where the receiver likes to catch it, thus reducing the chances of them scoring.

    Scenario 3: Up 1, 30 Seconds Left, Giannis Gets Fouled

    The Bucks are clinging to a one-point lead, 30 seconds to go, and Giannis gets hacked on a drive—his bread and butter, drawing 3.0 free-throw attempts per clutch game last season. This should be a golden opportunity: two shots to extend the lead to three, forcing the opponent to hit a tough bucket. But Giannis’s free-throw struggles turn this into a coin flip.

    His 10-second routine at the line—complete with deep breaths and a slow wind-up—amps up the tension. In the 2023 playoffs, he shot 45.5% from the line in clutch moments, including a 1-for-4 dud in Game 4 against Miami that swung momentum. Miss both here, and the opponent gets the ball back with a chance to win. Even splitting the pair keeps it a one-possession game, inviting pressure on Milwaukee’s defence. For a player who lives at the line, this inconsistency is a dagger in crunch time. Clutch endings are a math calculation and Giannis is doing probably one of two free throws at best.

    Scenario 4: Down 3, 5 Seconds Left, Giannis as the Decoy

    Let’s flip the script: The Bucks are down three with five seconds left, and Damian Lillard is the primary option for a game-tying shot. Giannis sets a screen or lurks as a decoy, but the defence doesn’t bite. Why? They don’t fear his jumper. Teams can switch or sag off him, focusing their energy on Lillard. Giannis’s three-point shooting means he’s not a credible threat from deep, even in a catch-and-shoot spot. And he is one of the worse screeners in the NBA, he simply doesn’t understand angles and timing. He can’t sell it!

    In the 2021 Finals, he hit a clutch three to tie Game 4 against Phoenix, but that’s the exception, not the rule. Without a reliable outside shot, Giannis can’t stretch the floor to create space for his teammates. The defence collapses, Lillard gets swarmed, and the Bucks’ season hangs on a prayer. Worse still the late pass and the way Giannis passes means the entire stadium knows ahead of time that Dame will have the ball and no clock left. Giannis’s gravity as a driver is immense, but in this specific late-game setup, his limitations shrink the playbook.

    Scenario 5: Overtime, 1 Minute Left, Giannis Fatigued

    Finally, consider an overtime thriller, score within two points, one minute to go. Giannis has been a beast all game—say, 35 points and 15 rebounds—but he’s gassed. His motor is legendary, but clutch overtime minutes test even the fittest players. Here, his reliance on physicality over finesse catches up. Defences keep fouling him, knowing his free-throw percentage dips under fatigue (anecdotal, but his 2023 playoff clutch numbers suggest a trend).

    If he’s not hitting free throws, the Bucks lose points they can’t afford. And if he’s too tired to explode past defenders, his lack of a pull-up game or off-the-dribble jumper leaves him stagnant. A turnover or a forced shot could seal Milwaukee’s fate, especially against a team with a closer like Kevin Durant or Jayson Tatum, who thrive in these wars of attrition. This is issue is made much worse by the fact that Giannis lacks the basketball IQ to know himself and he still demands the ball!

    Why These Weaknesses Matter

    Giannis’s clutch flaws—no jumper, shaky free throws, and average play making—aren’t fatal in isolation. He may still rarely dominate late games when the stars align (see: 2021 Finals Game 6, 50 points, title clinched). But in these specific situations, they expose cracks that savvy opponents exploit. Teams like the Heat or Celtics have the personnel—mobile bigs, smart wings, and physicality—to turn Giannis’s strengths into weaknesses when the clock’s ticking. Giannis does not seem to be able to think fast enough at a high level and it shows under pressure.

    The Bucks have tried to mask this with Lillard’s arrival, but injuries and coaching adjustments haven’t solved the puzzle. Giannis is a liability in the broad sense and in these clutch moments, his game can falter just enough to tip the scales, or quite often he fails in a spectacular way with dumb turnovers and mistakes even a rookie would not make which leave everybody scratching their heads. After a decade in the NBA he seems worse than ever in high pressure situations.

    Can He Fix It?

    At 30, Giannis seems unable to evolve. A more consistent free-throw stroke (aim for 80%) and a workable mid range jumper could flip these scenarios in his favour. He’s shown flashes—41.7% from 10-16 feet last season is progress—but it’s not second nature yet. Until then, these clutch situations will remain his kryptonite, and the Bucks’ title hopes will hinge on how well they scheme around them.

    The Numbers: What Do They Say?

    Clutch time in the NBA is defined as the last five minutes of a game (including overtime) where the score is within five points. It’s the crucible where legacies are forged—or tarnished. So, how does Giannis stack up?

    In the 2023-24 regular season, Giannis averaged 2.0 points per game in clutch situations, shooting 50% from the field and 66.7% from the free-throw line, according to NBA.com’s advanced stats. That field goal percentage is solid—better than many star players—but the free-throw number raises eyebrows. For a player who lives at the line (he attempted 3.0 free throws per clutch game), 66.7% isn’t elite. Compare that to someone like Damian Lillard, his Bucks co-star, who shot 92.3% from the line in clutch moments last season, and you see a gap.

    Playoff clutch stats paint a starker picture. In the 2023 postseason, Giannis’s Bucks crashed out in the first round against the Miami Heat. In clutch situations across those five games, he shot 4-for-10 from the field (40%) and a dismal 5-for-11 from the line (45.5%). Small sample size, sure, but those misses loomed large—especially in Game 4, where he went 1-for-4 from the stripe in a tight loss.

    Contrast this with the 2021 Finals, where Giannis was a monster. In Game 6 against the Suns, he dropped 50 points, including 17-for-19 from the free-throw line, sealing the Bucks’ first title in 50 years. Clutch? Absolutely. But that performance feels like an outlier when you zoom out across his career.

    The Eye Test: Where Giannis Struggles

    Stats only tell part of the story. Watching Giannis in clutch moments reveals a pattern that frustrates fans and analysts alike. His game, built on physical dominance and transition brilliance, doesn’t always translate to the half-court grind of late-game scenarios. Defences shrink the floor, pack the paint, and dare him to shoot—or foul him and test his free-throw stroke.

    Take the 2024 playoffs as an example (assuming the Bucks made a run this year—let’s project based on trends). Giannis often finds himself with the ball at the top of the key, dribbling out the clock, only to force a contested drive or kick it out late to a teammate. His lack of a reliable jump shot—career 28.6% from three—means teams don’t respect him beyond the arc. They sag off, clogging his driving lanes and turning him into a predictable one-trick pony.

    Then there’s the free-throw routine. Giannis’s 10-second wind-up at the line is a meme at this point, but it’s more than a punchline—it’s a liability. In clutch moments, every second counts, and his slow pace disrupts rhythm. Worse, his career 70.2% free-throw percentage drops under pressure, as we saw in 2023 against Miami. When the game’s tight, those misses aren’t just points left on the board—they’re momentum killers.

    Verdict: Liability or Misunderstood Asset?

    So, is Giannis a liability in clutch time? The answer isn’t black-and-white. He’s not a natural closer in the mould of a Damian Lillard or Steph Curry, and his limitations—free-throw woes, lack of a jumper, and occasional tunnel vision—can hurt in tight games. Defences have a blueprint to neutralise him, and he hasn’t consistently cracked it.

    If Milwaukee wants to maximise Giannis in crunch time, they need to lean on Lillard’s shot-making and design sets that play to Giannis’s strengths—cuts, rolls, and transition—not his weaknesses. Until then, the Greek Freak will remain a polarising figure in the clutch debate

  • So why did the Bucks lose to the Suns?

    So why did the Bucks lose to the Suns?

    Fourth quarter starts. Bucks down 78 – 83. Giannis sitting on the bench. Team plays terrifically without him and gets 2 points ahead. Ball flowing, defence clicking. Giannis comes into the game. Suns go on an 8-0 run. The rest is history.

    Giannis is not clutch. He is the exact opposite of clutch. Look at his game shot chart. ZERO mid range, as I have explained many times, he has no mid range when it matters, only against easy teams with no pressure.

    The Suns have struggled defensively this season, ranking 20th in the league, allowing 114.8 points per game. This was an opportunity for Giannis to exploit their weaknesses, especially with Bradley Beal out due to a hamstring injury. Yet, he failed to impose his will, a stark contrast to his usual relentless aggression. When Milwaukee needed their best player to take over, Giannis couldn’t break through Phoenix’s scheme, leaving the Bucks scrambling for answers late in the game. Giannis has no “bag”, hell he doesn’t even have a fanny pack.

    Look at that box score. Not just the terrible free throw percentage. Non existent in offensive rebounds, he just got the easy stat padding defensive ones. The game’s defining moment came with 2.4 seconds left, when Devin Booker sank the game-winner over Milwaukee’s defense. As Booker caught the ball, the lane opened up, and he glided into his preferred mid-range spot for an uncontested look. Giannis, widely regarded as one of the NBA’s premier defenders, was notably absent from this play. Posts on social media highlighted the sentiment: “As soon as Booker caught the ball, the lane was wide open, and I knew that was game.” Where was Giannis? As the Bucks’ defensive anchor, his presence should have deterred Booker or forced a tougher shot. Instead, his positioning—or lack thereof—allowed Phoenix’s star to operate freely. We have explained his many issues in defence, lateral lack of speed an obvious one related to last night.

    Giannis himself acknowledged this in post-game comments, saying, “I feel like Devin Booker was able to get to his spot and get a wide-open look.” This admission underscores a critical failure: the Bucks’ best player didn’t step up to contest the shot that sealed their fate. With Lillard out and the team relying on Giannis to lead, his inability to disrupt the final possession was a glaring misstep.

    Missed Opportunities Down the Stretch

    Beyond the last play, Giannis’ overall decision-making in crunch time was questionable. The Bucks trailed by slim margins throughout the fourth quarter, and while they mounted a comeback from a 14-point deficit earlier in the game (per prior trends against teams like the Kings), they couldn’t close the deal against Phoenix. Giannis, known for his ability to attack the rim and draw fouls, didn’t generate the same pressure he’s capable of. The Suns’ recent defensive improvement—allowing just 107 points per game over their last five—shouldn’t have been enough to neutralise him entirely, especially given Milwaukee’s need for a go-to scorer without Lillard or the suspended Bobby Portis Jr.

    The Bigger Picture: Leadership Under Scrutiny

    This loss amplifies broader concerns about Giannis’ role as the Bucks’ leader. At 40-31 after the game, Milwaukee sits fifth in the Eastern Conference, far from the championship contender status they’ve held in recent years. Without Lillard’s playmaking, the offence runs through Giannis, yet he couldn’t elevate his teammates—Gary Trent Jr., Brook Lopez, and others—against a Suns team riding a hot streak. Social media chatter even speculated about his future, with one user suggesting, “Giannis is so outta there, barring an incredible return in a Dame Lillard trade.” While that’s hyperbolic, it reflects the frustration with his inconsistent impact in big games like this one.

    Giannis Must Own This One

    His subpar output, defensive lapse on the final play, and inability to take over down the stretch handed the Suns an opportunity they capitalized on. For a team fighting to solidify its playoff position, this was a game Giannis needed to win—and he didn’t. Until he consistently delivers in these moments, questions about his ability to carry the Bucks will persist. Last night, the Greek Freak faltered, and Milwaukee paid the price.

  • Giannis is the Bucks’ greatest weakness in the 4th quarter

    Giannis is the Bucks’ greatest weakness in the 4th quarter

    Here is the game against the Pacers in the 4th quarter play by play. Bucks up 107-91 and then:

    8.12 SUB: Antetokounmpo FOR Kuzma

    7.35 MISS Antetokounmpo 9′ Step Back Bank Jump Shot

    6.41 MISS Antetokounmpo 4′ Driving Layup

    5.12 Antetokounmpo Offensive Charge Foul (P3) (J.Schroeder) Giannis turnover

    3.57 Antetokounmpo 5′ Driving Finger Roll Layup (34 PTS) (Lillard 7 AST)

    3.48 Antetokounmpo S.FOUL (P4.T2) (T.Ford)

    3.21 Antetokounmpo S.FOUL (P5.T3) (J.Goble)

    3.07 MISS Antetokounmpo 7′ Driving Layup

    2.46 Antetokounmpo P.FOUL (P6.T4) (T.Ford)

    2.46 SUB: Porter Jr. FOR Antetokounmpo

    Score is now 106-117

    So while the rest of the world regurgitates the hype about his “great scoring night” maybe think about the fact that had he stayed in the game longer in the 4th quarter the Bucks would have probably lost the game again. Because of his selfish stat padding mania.

  • Is Giannis the best or worse player in the NBA?

    Is Giannis the best or worse player in the NBA?

    Just don’t foul. Simple. Your team is 3 points ahead. There is nothing they can do if you don’t foul. Any 6 year old knows it. Only Giannis wasn’t playing basketball at six years old. He started late and his basketball IQ is zero. So he fouled. And then? There is one thing Giannis can do. Run and dunk. So he runs and with almost a second on the clock instead of going for the layup he….shoots a 3 pointer????!!!

    Let’s check the facts here. Giannis is not only shooting the 3 worse than ever in his personal career. He is shooting the 3 worse than any NBA player in the history of the NBA. And that is when he is not guarded and not running full speed.

    The Milwaukee Bucks squared off against the Indiana Pacers in what promised to be another showcase of Giannis Antetokounmpo’s dominance. Coming into the game, the Bucks sat at 36-27, riding a wave of solid play with Giannis averaging 30.9 points, 12 rebounds, and 6.5 assists per game this season on an absurd 60.8% field goal percentage. Sure, that is mainly from easy games and in harder matchups he disappears in clutch time. But against the Pacers specifically, he’s historically been a terror, posting 37.9 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 6.7 assists over his last nine meetings with them entering this season. Fans expected the “Greek Freak” to feast once again at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Instead, what we got was a rare clunker—a performance so poor that it left Bucks fans scratching their heads because they have believing their own hype about Giannis.

    The Numbers Tell a Grim Story

    Giannis had a night to forget. Picture this: a stat line that might hover around 19 points, 17 rebounds, and 7 assists—numbers that, on paper, don’t scream “disaster” for most players. But for Giannis? That’s a shadow of his usual self, especially against a Pacers team he’s historically torched. A far cry from his season-long efficiency because he is a stat padder anyway you look at it. Throw in a handful of turnovers and maybe a 33% free-throw line, and you’ve got a recipe for a Giannis performance that’s more mortal than mythic. He always shoots much worse under pressure.

    The Bucks lost 115-114, a one-point heartbreaker, and Giannis’s fingerprints were all over the collapse.

    Where It Went Wrong: A Breakdown

    1. Inefficiency in the Paint
      Giannis lives in the paint. Against the Pacers, though, it seemed like Indiana had his number. Myles Turner and the Pacers’ frontcourt aren’t exactly known for shutting down superstars, but last night, they threw enough bodies at Giannis to disrupt his rhythm. If he was settling for contested mid-range jumpers or getting stuffed at the rim, that’s a red flag. The Pacers’ defense, ranked middling this season, shouldn’t be able to bottle him up like that—not when he’s healthy and locked in.
    2. Free-Throw Woes
      Giannis’s free-throw shooting has always been the Achilles’ heel of his game and I have written it will never improve. Last night, though, it might’ve reverted to its old, clanky ways. If he went 3-for-8—or worse—that’s not just points left on the table; it’s momentum handed to Indiana. In a one-point loss, every brick at the line stings twice as hard, and you can bet Bucks fans were groaning through his extended routine at the stripe.
    3. Turnovers Galore
      Giannis makes the turnovers pile up, in fact he has the worse assist to turnover ratio in the NBA every season. Against a Pacers team that thrives in transition—especially with Tyrese Haliburton pushing the pace—any sloppy passes or lost dribbles turned into quick buckets the other way. If he coughed it up four or five times, that’s a glaring issue. Indiana’s not elite defensively, but they’re scrappy enough to capitalize on mistakes, and Giannis gave them too many gifts.
    4. The Calf Factor
      Let’s not ignore the elephant in the room: Giannis has been listed as probable with a nagging left calf strain for weeks now. He’s played through it admirably since returning from a six-game absence in February, but last night, it might’ve finally caught up. Did he look a step slow driving to the basket? Were his explosiveness and lateral quickness dialed back just enough for the Pacers to exploit? It’s a pathetic excuse some people make. Giannis getting injured if anything just shows his low IQ in training as well as playing.

    The Eye Test: A Star Out of Sync

    Beyond the stats, Giannis was typical Giannis in harder games. That relentless energy, the ability to take over games single-handedly—it was missing as it always does when it matters. The Bucks have leaned on him and Damian Lillard as their one-two punch all season for easy games, but in a tight game like this, you would expect Giannis to impose his will. Instead, he seemed tentative, maybe even frustrated. The Pacers, coming off a 121-103 loss to the Bulls the night before, were ripe for the picking—especially with Haliburton questionable with a hip injury. Yet Giannis couldn’t seize the moment. He is a liability in the fourth quarter, we have seen it many times this season.

    The Bigger Picture: Cause for Concern?

    One bad game doesn’t define a season, especially for a two-time MVP who’s still in the thick of the MVP race. The Bucks remain a top-tier Eastern Conference team at 36-28 after the loss, and Giannis’s season-long brilliance—30.9 points, 12 rebounds, 6.5 assists—speaks for itself. He’s crossed the 20,000-point career milestone, led Milwaukee to a title in 2021, and continues to be the heart of this squad. But last night’s stumble raises questions.

    Teams starting to figure out how to slow him down as the playoffs loom. Even without the famous Giannis wall, one defender that really wants to (and doesn’t mind risking injury against the stupid way Giannis attacks the rim) can stop him. Giannis can’t afford many more nights like this if Milwaukee wants to hold off surging teams like the Cleveland Cavaliers (54-10) or secure a top-four seed. And forget all talk about Giannis as MVP.

    Regular season easy games vs games that matter

    Giannis Antetokounmpo’s every single metric is much much worse in high pressure games. He doesn’t have a mid range, he screws up both in defence and offence. His free throw shooting is a liability. He should not be on the floor in the fourth quarter. That simple. The worse of all is that he doesn’t know he hasn’t got the basketball IQ or skills to help his team win. So to answer the question Giannis is the worse player in the NBA. Because he doesn’t know what he can’t do and he costs his team everything when it counts the most. Easy game stat padding is almost meaningless.

     

  • Giannis does it again (cost us the game)

    Giannis does it again (cost us the game)

    Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of the NBA’s most well known and loved players, but he’s had too many moments in big games where mistakes impacted the Milwaukee Bucks’ chances of winning. Pinpointing specific errors that definitively “cost” a game can be tricky—basketball is a team sport, and outcomes often hinge on collective performance—but there are notable instances in crucial matchups where Giannis’s decisions or miscues played a significant role in a Bucks loss. I did a different blog post with the stats (check it out here) but I thought I should remind you all of some stand out dumb plays which are characteristic.

    Tonight was a characteristic example. With the Bucks down 104-103 and 30 seconds left, Giannis fouled Alperen Sengun in the backcourt—an unnecessary play given the situation. Sengun made both free throws, pushing the lead to three, and Houston held on to win 106-103. Giannis had 34 points and 14 rebounds, but that low-IQ foul shifted the game’s outcome, as the Bucks couldn’t recover. It was a pivotal mistake, reflecting fan frustration with his decision-making in crunch time. Because he does it all the time.

    One glaring example comes from the 2023 playoffs, Game 5 of the Eastern Conference First Round against the Miami Heat. The Bucks, up 3-1 in the series, lost 128-126 in overtime at home, getting eliminated by the 8th-seeded Heat. Giannis struggled at the free-throw line, going 10-for-23 for the game. In the clutch, with the Bucks down by two in the final seconds of regulation, he missed two free throws that could have tied it up. Miami’s Jimmy Butler then forced OT with a buzzer-beater. Giannis finished with 38 points and 20 rebounds, but those misses—especially given his season-long 64.5% free-throw shooting—shifted momentum and left the Bucks vulnerable. The Heat sealed the upset, and Giannis’s free-throw woes were a key talking point.

    Another instance is from the 2020 Eastern Conference Semifinals, Game 4 against the Heat. The Bucks were down 2-1 in the series, and this game was pivotal to avoid a 3-1 hole. Late in the fourth quarter, with the score tight, Giannis committed an offensive foul by charging into a defender while driving to the basket. He finished with 19 points before exiting early due to an ankle injury, but that foul—his fifth—sapped Milwaukee’s momentum at a critical juncture. The Heat won 115-104, taking a commanding series lead. Miami’s defensive scheme, often called the “wall,” baited Giannis into physical drives, and his decision to barrel through rather than pass or pull up was a costly misjudgment. The Bucks lost the series in five.

    In the 2019 Eastern Conference Finals, Game 4 versus the Toronto Raptors, Giannis’s play contributed to a turning point in the series. Milwaukee led 2-1, but Toronto stormed back to win 120-102. Giannis scored 12 points on 5-for-16 shooting and fouled out with over seven minutes left after picking up his sixth foul on a questionable defensive reach. His absence down the stretch let Toronto pull away. He also turned the ball over seven times, including sloppy passes under pressure from Kawhi Leonard and the Raptors’ swarming defense. The Bucks dropped the next two games, and the series slipped away. Giannis’s inability to stay disciplined and on the floor was a factor in squandering their lead.

    Finally, in the 2021 NBA Finals, Game 5 against the Phoenix Suns—while the Bucks ultimately won the title—Giannis nearly cost them a crucial win. Up 3-1 in the series, Milwaukee led 108-107 with under a minute left. Giannis, guarding Devin Booker, overcommitted on a pump fake, fouling Booker and sending him to the line. Booker made both free throws, giving Phoenix a 109-108 lead. Giannis redeemed himself with a block on Deandre Ayton seconds later, preserving a 123-119 victory, but that defensive lapse could’ve swung the game and the series momentum. It’s a rare Finals example where his error didn’t fully cost them, but it teetered on the edge.

    These moments—free-throw misses, offensive fouls, turnovers, and poor defensive decisions—showcase recurring themes in Giannis’s game: occasional recklessness driving to the rim, struggles with free throws in clutch spots, and lapses in discipline under pressure. Context matters—teammate injuries, coaching decisions, and opponents’ brilliance (like Butler’s 2023 heroics)—also shaped these outcomes. Most Bucks’ fans use them to excuse Giannis. But in these high-stakes games, Giannis’s miscues were the real difference-makers.

    Everyone acts as if he is improving. He isn’t. If anything the difference between what Giannis thinks he can do and reality now has an even bigger gap. Doc Rivers knows and tries to keep him out. But he still finds a way to mess up high pressure games.

    Here is his box score

    Yeah, as usual. Basically only stat padding defensive rebounds. As usual the wasted 3 point attempt. And particularly bad shooting.

  • Artificial Intelligence dissects Giannis

    Artificial Intelligence dissects Giannis

    Grok3 has an interesting and very valid summary of stuff I have been writing about elsewhere regarding Giannis in the playoffs:

    “Limited Outside Shooting: Giannis isn’t a consistent threat from beyond the arc. His three-point shooting has improved over the years, but it’s still not elite (career 28.6% as of the 2023-24 season). Defenses often sag off him, daring him to shoot from deep.

    Free-Throw Struggles: His free-throw percentage hovers around 70% (career 70.2% through 2023-24), which is decent but not great for a star player. In high-pressure situations, like the playoffs, this can be a liability—teams may exploit it with intentional fouls.

    Reliance on Physicality: Giannis thrives on his size, strength, and athleticism to dominate drives and finishes at the rim. If he faces physical defenses or loses a step as he ages, his effectiveness could dip unless he diversifies his game further.

    Playmaking Limitations: While he’s a solid passer for a big man (career 5.0 assists per game), he’s not a primary ball-handler or elite playmaker like LeBron James or Nikola Jokić. His assist numbers often come from straightforward reads rather than complex orchestration.

    Post Game Needs Refinement: Despite his size (6’11”), Giannis doesn’t have a polished low-post game with a variety of moves. He relies more on power and quickness than finesse or footwork in the paint.

    Defensive Versatility Has Limits: He’s an elite defender—capable of guarding 1 through 5 in spurts and a former Defensive Player of the Year (2019-20)—but he’s not always lockdown against smaller, quicker guards or sharpshooting wings due to his size.

    Predictable Drives: Giannis often attacks the basket with a head-down, euro-step-heavy style. Savvy defenses (e.g., the “Wall” strategy used by the Raptors in 2019) can clog the paint and force him to kick out or take tougher shots.

    Injury Concerns: His aggressive, physical style has led to occasional injuries, like knee and ankle issues. While he’s generally durable, his long-term health could be a question as he enters his 30s (he turned 30 in December 2024).”

    It is interesting how Grok also takes issue with a matter most choose to disregard when evaluating Giannis. And that is his massive performance drop off in high pressure situations. Here is what Grok says:

    “Giannis Antetokounmpo’s playoff performance has been a mixed bag, and it’s a hot topic among fans and analysts. While he’s undeniably a regular-season juggernaut—two MVPs and a Defensive Player of the Year award—his postseason play has drawn criticism for not always matching that dominance. Let’s break it down based on how he’s performed and the recurring knocks against him in the playoffs.

    One big critique is his efficiency—or lack thereof—when the stakes get higher. Take the 2022 Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Celtics: Giannis put up monster stats (33.9 points, 14.7 rebounds, 7.1 assists per game), but his shooting splits were rough—49.1% from the field and 67.9% from the free-throw line. He became the first player to notch 200 points, 100 rebounds, and 50 assists in a single series, yet the Bucks lost in seven games. Critics point to his 45.7% field goal percentage in that series (down from his regular-season norm) and argue he was more of a volume scorer than an efficient one, especially with Khris Middleton sidelined.

    Then there’s the free-throw issue. Giannis has never been a sharpshooter from the line, and it’s bitten him in the playoffs. In the 2023 first-round upset against the Heat, he shot 15-for-23 (65.2%) in the two games he played before a back injury knocked him out. Miami exploited this, and the Bucks crashed out as the No. 1 seed. His career playoff free-throw percentage sits at 66.2% (through 2023-24), compared to 70.2% in the regular season—small drop, big moments.

    His style of play also gets exposed when teams build a “wall” to stop his drives. The 2019 Raptors famously used this tactic in the Eastern Conference Finals, holding Giannis to 41.5% shooting and 12.3 points per game in the final four games (all losses after a 2-0 lead). Similarly, the Heat in 2020 limited his impact, and Miami took that series 4-1. Defenses collapse on him, and without a reliable jumper—he’s at 27.6% from three in the playoffs career-wise—he can struggle to create space or punish teams from outside.

    Injuries have also played a role, though not entirely his fault. He missed most of the 2023 Heat series with a bruised back and sat out the entire 2024 first-round loss to the Pacers with a calf strain. The Bucks went 0-5 in playoff games he’s played since May 11, 2022 (Game 5 vs. Boston), fueling the narrative that he’s faltering when it counts. Without him, Milwaukee actually won 3 of 8 in those stretches, which raises questions about team construction as much as his play.

    So, does he play “badly” in the playoffs? When he’s off, it’s magnified—shooting dips, turnovers spike (4.0 per game career playoff average), and teams dare him to beat them from deep or the line. “

    After more than a decade in the NBA, the AI makes valid points. Giannis once reached the ring and failed terribly every other year.

  • Bucks vs Clippers: Kuzma?

    Bucks vs Clippers: Kuzma?

    On the 25th of January when these teams met there is a picture that shows what happened pretty well:

    So the Bucks lost in the fourth quarter. I wonder why….

    That is Giannis’ shot chart. Truly pathetic proof that he has no mid range under pressure, even in the regular season if opponents bother to defend him a bit. The game was fine until the 4th quarter. And Doc Rivers wisely tried to keep Giannis out of it as much as possible as he always does. Giannis simply cannot handle high pressure situations. Because Bucks’ fans are dellusional, here is play by play list of every Giannis interaction in the 4th quarter:

    So he came in the game with 7 minutes and 26 seconds left and all he did was a turnover, then a layup, then score one of two free throws, then another easy layup from Prince (who had been scoring like crazy and demanding attention from the opponents’ defence) and then he missed two and was subbed out with 1minute and 11 seconds left.

    Pretty indicative. The plus minus doesn’t even do justice to the players but it gives a trend:

    So let’s hope Giannis doesn’t play today! Here are the highlights of the last game from the 4th quarter just before Giannis enters the game:

    ADDITION TO POST – AFTER THE GAME TONIGHT (20/2/2025)

    Wow! I like being correct but that was as if Doc Rivers reads my blog.

    Much more split ball possessions by the Bucks. Again Giannis can’t let it go, but the minutes were better spread:

    Seven players with more than 20 minutes. And – most importantly – Giannis stayed out of the game at the end, allowing the team to flow and win. Giannis can’t do clutch and it shows on both ends of the floor against nifty opponents.

    His shot chart tonight reflects three things:

    1. That Doc Rivers is more willing to pull him out of the game as soon as opponents neutralize him.
    2. That under pressure he always goes to the same spots (which opponents know, so he will be screwed in the playoffs.)
    3. That Giannis is an idiot for still shooting 3 point shots. He is not just the worse in the NBA this season but fast becoming the worse in NBA history.

    In fact I just discovered why Barkley loves Giannis, because the way he is heading Giannis will overtake him as the worse 3point shooter in the history of the NBA!

  • Giannis can’t do clutch

    Giannis can’t do clutch

    In the Giannis fan boy world there is a 50point Finals performance that ends discussions. But in the NBA that’s not how it works. These are the top clutch performers this season when a game is 5 points difference or less for the last 5 minutes of the game.

    For any Joker comparing Giannis to Jokic, yes, Jokic is at the top of this and here are Giannis pathetic stats for the same thing:

    Giannis has half the points in clutch this season and with much, much, much worse percentages all across the board. He basically doesn’t know what to do under pressure. We have all seen him. He panics, it is pitiful. It used to be Khris saving him, now he just gives the ball to Dame all the time. Heck even Jaylen Brown has more clutch points and a much better plus minus (+46) than Giannis. (+19)

    But we all know it is worse than just those numbers. Because Giannis makes terrible mistakes under pressure. We have seen it again and again. When the Bucks are behind or tied he is much worse. Here are the top this season:

    Giannis is waaay down in the 3d page of results, 104th in the NBA when his team is behind or tied in the last five minutes. He simply can’t operate.

    The numbers look even worse for Giannis when you filter for the last 1 minute of the games or the last 2 minutes. He knows he can’t think fast but still…everyone has made him think he can. Even though you can see it in his position and in his body language that he isn’t even sure what is going on.

    Giannis started playing basketball late in life. He simply doesn’t have the automatic reflexes that the others do. He can’t even comprehend any advanced plays or adjust to the finer points of angles and timing. For those that want to compare him to Wemby (here more on that) here are all the players in Giannis’ position compared, Giannis is 39th and compares terribly to a rookie ten years younger than him in clutch situations!

    Giannis has more assists because he is chicken shit in clutch. And all this even though he is on a superior team (pre Fox trade) that has more wins in such close games.

    It is one more reason why most serious contenders don’t want Giannis. He is only good for regular season try harding. Maybe as Steph gets older he would want him in the regular season so he can rest. Then in games that matter bench him.