Tag: hasbeen

  • Why Giannis is NOT watching the NBA finals

    Why Giannis is NOT watching the NBA finals

    Thought experiment: watch the next game of the 2025 NBA Finals and imagine either team with Giannis on the floor. What would he do? These teams have showcased the evolution of basketball emphasising speed, versatility, and strategic complexity. Unfortunately, Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo has appeared increasingly out of place in this type of high-stakes environment. While his athleticism and physical dominance remain undeniable, the Finals have exposed critical flaws in his game that suggest he is not suited for the demands of modern NBA basketball at this level. You can talk rubbish theoretical trade talks all you want but everyone in the NBA knows for a fact that Giannis simply can’t deliver when it counts. Regular season stat padding and breaking crazy records are not NBA playoff basketball.

    Lack of Speed on Both Ends

    The modern NBA prioritizes pace, with teams exploiting transition opportunities and quick defensive rotations. Giannis, despite his freakish athleticism, often appears a step slow in these scenarios. Offensively, his reliance on bulldozing drives to the rim is less effective against Finals-caliber defenses that collapse quickly and force him into crowded paint situations. His 6.9 seconds per touch (among the highest in the playoffs) indicate a deliberate, plodding style that disrupts Milwaukee’s flow in fast-paced games.

    Defensively, Giannis struggles to keep up with the rapid ball movement and off-ball screens that define modern offences. Teams like the Boston Celtics or Dallas Mavericks exploit his slower lateral movement by using guards and wings to pull him out of position, creating open looks from three or easy drives. His Defensive Versatility Index (DVI) this postseason dropped to 0.82, below the league average for big men, highlighting his struggles to switch effectively in high-speed defensive schemes.

    Questionable Basketball IQ

    Basketball IQ is critical in the Finals, where split-second decisions determine outcomes. Giannis, while a phenomenal physical talent, often lacks the instincts needed for elite play making. Not his fault, he started playing ball way too late in life. It’s not something you can add later, it has to be instinctual. His assist-to-turnover ratio in the 2025 playoffs (1.8:1) is among the lowest for primary ball-handlers, reflecting a tendency to force passes or drives without reading the defence. Advanced plays, such as pick-and-roll counters or off-ball movement, seem to elude him. Opponents frequently bait him into predictable patterns, like charging into double-teams, where his decision-making falters.

    For example, in Game 3 of the Finals, Giannis was repeatedly caught hesitating against zone defenses, leading to three shot-clock violations. His inability to quickly process complex coverages limits Milwaukee’s offensive ceiling, especially when compared to players like Luka Dončić or Jayson Tatum, who thrive in reading and exploiting defensive adjustments.

    Inability to Adapt to Advanced Strategies

    The modern NBA demands adaptability, with coaches deploying intricate schemes to outmaneuver opponents. Giannis, however, appears rigid in his approach. His offensive game relies heavily on straight-line drives and post-ups, which are less effective against teams that use analytics-driven defenses to clog driving lanes. According to Synergy Sports, Giannis’s points per possession (PPP) on isolation plays in the Finals dropped to 0.89, well below the 1.05 league average for big men.

    On defence, his inability to adjust to modern switching schemes or communicate effectively in pick-and-roll coverages has been glaring. Opponents exploit this by targeting him in high pick-and-rolls, forcing him to either hedge too far or drop too deep, creating open shots. His lack of engagement in off-ball defensive rotations—often standing flat-footed as shooters relocate—further compounds Milwaukee’s struggles against dynamic offences.

    Ball-Hogging Tendencies

    Giannis’s ball-dominant style stifles the Bucks’ offense in critical moments. He averaged 8.1 seconds per possession with the ball, often holding it without purposeful movement. This slows down teammates like Damian Lillard, who thrive in quicker, more fluid systems. His usage rate (34.2%) is among the highest in the playoffs, yet his efficiency (True Shooting % of 54.1) lags behind other superstars like Nikola Jokić (61.3%). This suggests Giannis is monopolising possessions without generating proportional value, a cardinal sin in the team-oriented modern game.

    Lack of Diverse Skills and Options

    Perhaps the most glaring issue is Giannis’s limited skill set. His jump shot remains unreliable—his three-point percentage in the Finals was a dismal 22.7% on low volume (1.4 attempts per game). Defences sag off him, daring him to shoot, which clogs the paint and limits his driving lanes. Unlike players like Kevin Durant or even Anthony Davis, Giannis lacks a consistent mid-range game or the ability to create off the dribble with finesse. Again, his fans think he has a mid range shot but we have analysed here in depth how this is completely not true. It was a media hype bullshit story in a stretch of easy regular season games. When it mattered, in the playoffs, Giannis has zero mid range. As usual.

    Additionally, his free-throw shooting (64.3% in the playoffs) remains a liability in close games, where opponents intentionally foul him to exploit this weakness. His lack of off-ball movement further limits his versatility; he rarely cuts or relocates effectively, making him predictable and easier to game-plan against.

    Giannis is past his prime and the game has evolved way beyond his skillset

    Giannis Antetokounmpo remains a two-time MVP and a physical marvel, but the 2025 NBA Playoffs have underscored his limitations in the modern game. His lack of speed, questionable basketball IQ, inability to adapt to advanced strategies, ball-hogging tendencies, and limited skill set make it difficult for him to dominate at the highest level against elite competition. While he can still be a cornerstone for the Bucks, Milwaukee may need to retool its system—or Giannis must evolve significantly—to compete in the increasingly sophisticated landscape of the NBA. The Finals have made it clearer than ever: raw athleticism alone is no longer enough and Giannis was extremely lucky to get a ring while he could that year.

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 2024-25 NBA Season: A Statistical Comparison to Previous Years. No accolades!

    Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 2024-25 NBA Season: A Statistical Comparison to Previous Years. No accolades!

    The 2024-25 regular season saw some statistical declines in specific areas compared to his previous seasons. All statistics are sourced from reputable platforms like Basketball-Reference, ESPN, and NBA.com.

    Overview of Giannis’ 2024-25 Regular Season

    In the 2024-25 regular season, Giannis Antetokounmpo appeared in 67 games for the Milwaukee Bucks.

    Statistical Declines in 2024-25 Compared to Previous Seasons

    1. Points Per Game (PPG)

    2024-25: 30.4 PPG
    Giannis’ scoring output in 2024-25 was impressive but lower than his career-high 31.1 PPG in the 2022-23 season. Comparing to recent seasons:

    2. Free-Throw Attempts and Percentage

    2024-25: 10.8 FTA, 65.8% FT%
    Giannis’ free-throw shooting has long been a point of contention, and 2024-25 saw a decline in both attempts and efficiency:

    • Free-Throw Attempts (FTA):
      • 2023-24: 11.2 FTA2022-23: 12.3 FTA (highest in his career)2021-22: 11.4 FTA2020-21: 10.2 FTA2019-20: 10.0 FTA
      In 2024-25, Giannis averaged 10.8 free-throw attempts per game, lower than the previous three seasons. The league has figured him out.
    • Free-Throw Percentage (FT%):
      • 2023-24: 65.7% (nearly identical to 2024-25)2022-23: 64.5% (1.3% lower)2021-22: 72.2% (6.4% higher)2020-21: 68.5% (2.7% higher)2019-20: 63.3% (2.5% lower)
      His 65.8% FT% in 2024-25 was among his worst since 2019-20, significantly below his 72.2% peak in 2021-22. This regression in free-throw accuracy impacted his overall scoring efficiency, especially in close games and is a massive liability in a lot of situations.

    3. Steals Per Game (SPG)

    2024-25: 0.9 SPG
    Giannis’ defensive impact used to be a hallmark of his game, but his steals average in 2024-25 was a notable low:

    • 2023-24: 1.2 SPG
    • 2022-23: 0.8 SPG (career low, tied with 2021-22)
    • 2021-22: 1.1 SPG
    • 2020-21: 1.2 SPG
    • 2019-20: 1.0 SPG

    The 0.9 SPG in 2024-25 was lower than four of the past five seasons, matching his 2019-20 output but falling short of his 2023-24 and 2020-21 figures. This dip may reflect a strategic shift, with Giannis focusing more on rim protection (1.2 BPG) or conserving energy on a Bucks roster dealing with injuries.

    4. Three-Point Shooting

    2024-25: 0.3 3PM, 25.9% 3P%
    Giannis has never been a prolific three-point shooter, but his 2024-25 numbers were particularly low:

    • Three-Point Makes (3PM):
      • 2023-24: 0.5 3PM
      • 2022-23: 0.7 3PM
      • 2021-22: 1.1 3PM
      • 2020-21: 1.1 3PM
      • 2019-20: 1.4 3PM
      His 0.3 three-pointers made per game in 2024-25 was the lowest since 2018-19 (0.2 3PM).
    • Three-Point Percentage (3P%):
      • 2023-24: 27.4%2022-23: 27.5%2021-22: 29.3%2020-21: 30.3%2019-20: 30.4%
      His 25.9% three-point shooting was the worst since 2017-18 (25.0%). This regression reflects a continued reluctance to shoot from beyond the arc, with only 1.1 three-point attempts per game in 2024-25. It is almost the worse 3pt shooting percentage in NBA history for a single season.

    5. Minutes Per Game (MPG)

    2024-25: 34.2 MPG
    Giannis played fewer minutes per game in 2024-25 than in most recent seasons:

    • 2023-24: 35.2 MPG
    • 2022-23: 34.2 MPG (tied with 2024-25)
    • 2021-22: 36.8 MPG
    • 2020-21: 33.0 MPG
    • 2019-20: 30.4 MPG

    The 34.2 MPG matches his 2022-23 figure but is lower than 2023-24 and 2021-22. This reduction could be due to load management, injuries to teammates like Lillard, or coaching decisions under Doc Rivers.

    Other stats

    1. Offensive Rebounds Per Game (ORPG) 2024-25: 2.7 ORPG

    Giannis’ offensive rebounding, a key component of his ability to generate second-chance points, saw a decline in 2024-25:

    2023-24: 2.9 ORPG 2022-23: 2.2 ORPG 2021-22: 2.0 ORPG 2020-21: 1.6 ORPG 2019-20: 2.1 ORPG His 2.7 offensive rebounds per game in 2024-25 were lower than his 2023-24 mark (2.9 ORPG) but higher than the four preceding seasons. The slight drop from 2023-24 could be due to a shift in role, with Giannis focusing more on playmaking (6.5 APG) or playing alongside other rebounders like Bobby Portis and Kyle Kuzma, reducing his opportunities on the offensive glass.

    2. Defensive Rebounds Per Game (DRPG) 2024-25: 9.2 DRPG

    Giannis’ defensive rebounding, which contributes to his league-leading total rebounds, also dipped slightly:

    2023-24: 9.6 DRPG 2022-23: 9.6 DRPG 2021-22: 9.9 DRPG 2020-21: 9.4 DRPG 2019-20: 11.4 DRPG His 9.2 defensive rebounds per game in 2024-25 were lower than every season since 2019-20. This decline may reflect increased competition for rebounds within the Bucks’ lineup or a strategic emphasis on transitioning quickly to offense rather than securing every defensive board.

    3. Assist-to-Turnover Ratio (AST/TOV) 2024-25: 1.91 AST/TOV (6.5 APG, 3.4 TOV)

    Giannis’ assist-to-turnover ratio in 2024-25 was worse than several prior seasons. He simply screws up more and more:

    2023-24: 1.92 (6.5 APG, 3.4 TOV) 2022-23: 1.44 (5.7 APG, 3.9 TOV) 2021-22: 1.75 (5.8 APG, 3.3 TOV) 2020-21: 2.07 (5.9 APG, 2.8 TOV) 2019-20: 1.61 (5.6 APG, 3.7 TOV) The 2024-25 AST/TOV ratio of 1.91 was slightly worse than 2023-24 (1.92) and significantly lower than 2020-21 (2.07). While Giannis maintained a high assist average (6.5 APG), his turnovers remained consistent at 3.4 per game, suggesting that his increased ball-handling responsibilities didn’t translate to better ball security compared to his peak efficiency in 2020-21.

    4. Player Efficiency Rating (PER) 2024-25: Estimated 28.0 PER

    Player Efficiency Rating (PER) measures a player’s per-minute productivity, normalised to a league average of 15.0. Giannis’ PER in 2024-25 was lower than several prior seasons:

    2023-24: 29.8 2022-23: 29.0 2021-22: 32.1 (career high) 2020-21: 29.2 2019-20: 31.9 His estimated 28.0 PER in 2024-25 (based on Basketball-Reference trends) was lower than four of the past five seasons, with only 2022-23 (29.0) being closer. This dip reflects slight regressions in scoring efficiency, turnovers, and defensive metrics like steals, though he remained among the league’s top performers.

    5. True Shooting Percentage (TS%) 2024-25: 59.8% TS%

    True Shooting Percentage accounts for field goals, three-pointers, and free throws to measure overall shooting efficiency. Giannis’ TS% in 2024-25 was:

    2023-24: 61.3% 2022-23: 60.5% 2021-22: 63.3% 2020-21: 61.7% 2019-20: 61.3% His 59.8% TS% in 2024-25 was the lowest since 2018-19 (59.7%) and worse than all five previous seasons. This decline is largely attributable to his poor free-throw shooting (65.8%) and reduced three-point accuracy (25.9%), which dragged down his overall efficiency despite a solid 55.7% FG%. Seeing as he mainly dunked this season, this drop is very worrying.

    6. Win Shares Per 48 Minutes (WS/48) 2024-25: Estimated 0.220 WS/48

    Win Shares Per 48 Minutes measures a player’s contribution to team wins, normalised per 48 minutes. Giannis’ WS/48 in 2024-25 was:

    2023-24: 0.233 2022-23: 0.208 2021-22: 0.281 2020-21: 0.260 2019-20: 0.279 His estimated 0.220 WS/48 in 2024-25 was lower than four of the past five seasons, surpassing only 2022-23. This drop reflects declines in offensive efficiency (e.g., TS%) and defensive contributions (e.g., steals).

    7. Box Plus/Minus (BPM) 2024-25: Estimated 8.5 BPM

    Box Plus/Minus estimates a player’s contribution to team performance per 100 possessions. Giannis’ BPM in 2024-25 was:

    2023-24: 8.8 2022-23: 8.6 2021-22: 11.8 2020-21: 9.2 2019-20: 11.1 His estimated 8.5 BPM in 2024-25 was lower than four of the past five seasons, with only 2022-23 (8.6) being comparable. This slight decline aligns with reduced efficiency (TS%, PER) and defensive metrics (SPG, DRPG), though he remained a top-tier contributor.

    Yes, Giannis is past his prime and not improving

    Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 2024-25 regular season featured important and meaningful statistical regressions. He posted lower numbers in points (compared to 2022-23), free-throw attempts and percentage, steals, field goal attempts, three-point shooting, and minutes played compared to various prior seasons. As Giannis is past his prime at age 30, these declines signal a meaningful downward trend, yet another reason no teams are beating down the door for trades.

    Sources: Basketball-Reference.com, ESPN.com, NBA.com, RotoWire.com, Proballers.com, LandOfBasketball.com, Yahoo Sports, and posts on X. All stats are accurate as of April 30, 2025.