Tag: rules

  • The Bucks can’t stop Giannis from leaving

    The Bucks can’t stop Giannis from leaving

    In the high-stakes world of the NBA, superstar players like Giannis Antetokounmpo hold immense leverage, especially when their contracts include player options. As the 2025-26 season tips off, whispers about the Greek Freak’s future with the Milwaukee Bucks are growing louder amid trade rumors and questions about the team’s championship viability. While Giannis can’t walk away immediately after this season, his contract structure sets him up for unrestricted free agency as early as the summer of 2027 – at the end of the 2026-27 season. Once he declines his player option, the Bucks will have zero recourse to keep him. Let’s break down the rules, his contract details, and why Milwaukee is essentially at his mercy.

    Giannis’s Contract: A Timeline of Security and Flexibility

    Giannis has been a Buck since 2013, rising from a raw rookie to a two-time MVP and 2021 NBA champion. His loyalty has been rewarded with massive extensions, but the latest one – signed in October 2023 – gives him an exit ramp that’s hard for the front office to block.

    The current deal is a three-year, $175 million maximum veteran extension that kicked in for the 2025-26 season. Here’s the breakdown:

    • 2025-26: $54.1 million (guaranteed).
    • 2026-27: $58.5 million (guaranteed).
    • 2027-28: $62.8 million (player option).

    The first two years are fully guaranteed, meaning Giannis is locked in through the end of the 2026-27 season. But the third year? That’s where his power shines. The player option for 2027-28 allows Giannis (or his representatives) to decide by June 29, 2027, whether to exercise it and stay with Milwaukee for one more year at that salary. If he declines – opting out – he hits unrestricted free agency (UFA) in the summer of 2027, free to sign with any team of his choosing.

    This isn’t some obscure loophole; it’s a standard feature in NBA supermax contracts for stars like Giannis, who qualify under the Designated Veteran Player rules. These extensions allow teams to pay above the salary cap but often include player-friendly terms like options to maintain flexibility in a league where careers are short and contention windows narrow.

    Prior to this extension, Giannis was already under a five-year, $228 million deal from 2020 that carried him through 2025-26, but the new extension superseded the final year for cap purposes. The Bucks front office, led by GM Jon Horst, structured it this way to keep their star happy while navigating the collective bargaining agreement (CBA) restrictions, including the over-36 rule (Giannis turns 33 in 2027, so no over-38 issues yet). But by building in the player option, they’ve handed Giannis the keys to his own destiny.

    NBA Rules on Player Options and Free Agency: The Bucks’ Hands Are Tied

    To understand why the Bucks can’t stop Giannis from leaving, we need to dive into the NBA’s free agency rules under the current CBA.

    A player option is a contractual clause that gives the player – not the team – the unilateral right to decide whether to fulfill the final year(s) of the deal. If exercised, Giannis would play out 2027-28 in Milwaukee. But if he opts out, that year vanishes, and he becomes an unrestricted free agent. As a UFA, any NBA team can negotiate and sign him without restrictions – no qualifying offers, no right of first refusal, nothing. The Bucks’ Bird Rights (which allow over-the-cap re-signings) wouldn’t apply if he opts out and signs elsewhere; they’d only help if he stays or returns later.

    Contrast this with restricted free agency, where teams can match offers. Player options like Giannis’s bypass that entirely. The CBA explicitly prohibits contracts from including clauses that limit a player’s free agency after the option period, ensuring stars can chase rings or bigger paydays elsewhere.

    Moreover, Giannis doesn’t have a no-trade clause in this extension, meaning the Bucks could theoretically trade him before the opt-out deadline without his consent. But if Giannis wants to play out his guaranteed years and then bolt via free agency, Milwaukee has no leverage. They can’t force him to exercise the option, extend early (he’s eligible for a four-year, $275 million extension starting October 2026, but only if he stays), or block his departure.

    In practice, this creates massive trade leverage for Giannis even before 2027. After the 2025-26 season, with just one guaranteed year left, his value skyrockets for contending teams. The Bucks would face a “trade now or lose for nothing” dilemma – a scenario that’s played out with stars like Kevin Durant and James Harden. Recent reports indicate Giannis is already exploring options, with interest from teams like the Knicks, and the Bucks are bracing for potential mid-season drama if results falter.

    Why Now? The Bucks’ Window Closing and Giannis’s Leverage

    Giannis has repeatedly affirmed his commitment to Milwaukee, saying he’s “locked in” but leaving the door open for change if the team doesn’t contend. The Bucks have surrounded him with talent like Damian Lillard and recent additions, but back-to-back early playoff exits have fueled doubts. At 30 years old (turning 31 in December 2025), Giannis knows his prime won’t last forever. Opting out in 2027 could net him a new supermax elsewhere – potentially over $300 million – with a contender.

    For the Bucks, the nightmare is losing their franchise cornerstone for nothing. They can’t poison-pill his contract or use opt-out protections because the CBA doesn’t allow it. Their only plays are winning big this and next season to convince him to extend early or trading him on his terms to recoup assets.

    The Bottom Line: Player Power in the Modern NBA

    Giannis Antetokounmpo’s player option embodies the shift toward player empowerment in the NBA. By the end of the 2026-27 season, if he chooses to walk, the Bucks are spectators – unable to match offers, extend forcibly, or retain rights. It’s a stark reminder that even loyal stars like the Greek Freak prioritize championships over sentiment. As trade rumors swirl into the 2025-26 season, Milwaukee must deliver, or risk watching their MVP depart on his own terms.

    If Giannis Antetokounmpo declines his player option, he would be able to leave the Milwaukee Bucks and become an unrestricted free agent in the summer of 2027, immediately after the conclusion of the 2026-27 NBA season. His current contract guarantees him two more years, covering the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons, with a player option for the 2027-28 season—which he can choose whether or not to accept. If he opts out, the earliest possible departure is July 2027. What is most likely? At the end of this (failed again) Bucks’ season, they try to trade him for as much talent and draft capital they can. Giannis has no choice. But at the end of that second season he returns to Greece.

  • The FIBA Euro championships are a joke

    The FIBA Euro championships are a joke

    Since 1999, FIBA limits each team to only one naturalized player on the roster, which forces teams to rely mostly on native or dual-national players (passport obtained before age 16). This rule aims to maintain competitive balance and national representation authenticity. Many strong teams carefully select their one naturalized player to fill key roster gaps especially at EuroBasket tournaments from 2017 to 2025.

    Teams incorporating naturalized players often use them to address specific positional needs (e.g., point guard or centre) not adequately covered by native players, which can enhance overall team performance and competitiveness. For example, the European champion Slovenia in 2017 used the American naturalized player Anthony Randolph effectively alongside Luka Dončić. FIBA rules allow a team to have one naturalized player on their roster who obtained a passport after the age of 16. This creates a loophole for federations to recruit talented players, often from the United States, who have no genuine connection to the country they are representing. It is nationality for convenience. Tyler Dorsey, for instance, a player with Greek heritage who played for Greece in EuroBasket 2025, is still considered “naturalised” by FIBA because he received his passport after the age of 16. Other players, like Jordan Loyd for Poland and Darius Thompson for Italy, acquired citizenship to play in the tournament, despite having no prior ties. This practice is completely different from a player who has a true dual citizenship from birth or has lived in the country for a significant period. While these players may be skilled and contribute to their teams, their presence cheapens the meaning of “national team.” It transforms the competition from a battle of nations into a recruitment war, where the team with the most money and connections can simply buy a star to fill a hole in their roster.

    NBA player presence on teams correlates with stronger competitive performance. EuroBasket 2025, for instance, features numerous NBA players across several teams such as Serbia (Nikola Jokić), Germany (Franz Wagner, Dennis Schröder), and France (Bilal Coulibaly). These teams with multiple NBA players generally are regarded as favourites due to elite talent and experience. Teams relying solely on native players without naturalised players sometimes emphasise homegrown talent and strong national basketball traditions (e.g., Latvia in EuroBasket 2025) but may lack the positional flexibility or depth that naturalised players provide. Dual citizenship and naturalisation policies add complexity but offer teams strategic roster-building tools. The trend across the past 5 European Championships (approx. EuroBasket 2009, 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2022/2025) shows increasing integration of NBA talent and naturalized players, with most medal-contending teams having at least one NBA player and a naturalized player selected with tactical purpose. This turns the concept of a true “national team” into a marketing opportunity for the NBA, with fans tuning in not to see national pride, but to watch their favourite players in a different jersey. It dilutes the unique style of European basketball, which traditionally emphasises team-oriented play and structured offences, a point even acknowledged by Giannis’s former coach, Darvin Ham. The focus shifts from the collective to the individual, eroding the very essence of national team competition. Teams with only native players may rely on strong local development but tend to have less roster flexibility and fewer positional specialists brought in via naturalization or NBA experience.

    Given the past 5 EuroBasket finals data winners had 1 to 4 NBA players.

    • 2022 Spain: Juancho Hernangomez (Toronto Raptors), Willy Hernangomez (New Orleans Pelicans)
    • 2017 Slovenia: Goran Dragic (Miami Heat), Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks, injured during final but key player)
    • 2015 Spain: Pau Gasol (Chicago Bulls)
    • 2013 France: Tony Parker (San Antonio Spurs), Nicolas Batum (Portland Trail Blazers)
    • 2011 Spain: Pau Gasol, Marc Gasol (Memphis Grizzlies), Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder), Ricky Rubio (Minnesota Timberwolves)
    • 2009 Spain: Pau Gasol, Marc Gasol, Rudy Fernandez (Portland Trail Blazers

    Even outside the NBA, it is the NBA dictating who wins. More NBA players means you win basically. Is it a direct correlation? Well no, because some NBA players don’t impact games or don’t risk injury. So what are we even looking at? Some players playing to become famous while the best players are more concerned with protecting their health or getting knocked out early to return to their real work in the NBA.

    And then of course is the second problem. Naturalised players, ie completely irrelevant to the country they are playing for usually, those that didn’t even make it in the NBA but are so good compared to local talent that they get on the teams. For example:

    • Turkey: Shane Larkin (naturalized)
    • Greece: Tyler Dorsey (naturalized)
    • Montenegro: Kyle Allman Jr. (naturalized)
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina: John Roberson (naturalized)
    • Cyprus: Darral Willis (naturalized)
    • Georgia: Kamar Baldwin (naturalized)
    • Portugal: Travante Williams (naturalized)
    • Italy: Darius Thompson

    It is a bit like the old days when the NBA only allowed one negro per team “when the match was tough” as an unofficial rule between the team owners. European teams are playing a silly game with silly rules in fact by having various players naturalised but then only allowing one to play. This is covert racism which leads to a possibly dangerous type of nationalism. The winners are either teams with NBA stars (ie they have learned how to play and have been trained in the NBA) or naturalised players who are the NBA hand me downs. What sort of “national” team is it when the coach has to give instructions in English so that everyone understands?

    And that’s not even the start of the problems with this tournament. Injuries come from the players playing too many games. Is it worth it? Why are there so many super weak teams in the tournament? Players get into the temptation to smash records playing against nations that are very weak. It’s not fun to watch either.

  • The Officiating Conundrum: Giannis Gets a Free Pass every time

    The Officiating Conundrum: Giannis Gets a Free Pass every time


    A persistent critique among fans, analysts, and even some players is that officiating tends to favor Giannis, overlooking violations that stem from his aggressive style and, some argue, a lack of refined skill in certain areas.

    Giannis’s “Unique Playing Style”

    To understand the officiating debate, we first need to unpack Giannis’s approach to the game. Unlike traditional superstars who rely on jump-shooting finesse (think Kevin Durant) or guard-like ball-handling (like Kyrie Irving), Giannis thrives on physicality. His game is built around bulldozing drives to the rim, leveraging his length and athleticism to finish through contact. He averages over 30 points per game in recent seasons, with a significant chunk coming from paint scoring and free throws—often 10-12 attempts per game.

    This style, while undeniably effective, invites scrutiny. Critics argue that Giannis’s reliance on power over precision leads to violations that referees either miss or choose to ignore. And worse still, they try to justify it as some sort of “new” style, or “unique” approach. It just ain’t basketball.

    The Traveling Debate

    One of the loudest complaints about Giannis is his alleged traveling. Social media platforms frequently highlight clips of Giannis taking what appear to be extra steps during his drives. A typical sequence involves him gathering the ball mid-stride, taking two or three long steps, and then launching toward the rim. Per NBA rules, a player can take two steps after gathering the ball, but Giannis’s strides are so massive that they can look like more. Giannis does often travel any way you interpret the rules. But he hardly ever gets called for it.

    For example, during a 2023 playoff game against the Miami Heat, a viral clip showed Giannis driving from the top of the key, appearing to take four steps before dunking. Fans cried foul, but no call was made. The reality is murkier: slow-motion replays often reveal that his gather step aligns with the rule, but the sheer length of his strides creates an optical illusion. Still, referees rarely call traveling on him, which fuels perceptions of leniency. Data from the NBA’s Last Two Minute (L2M) reports shows traveling calls are down league-wide—only 0.3 per game in clutch situations—suggesting this isn’t unique to Giannis but part of a broader officiating trend. Giannis travels obviously and in your face very often no matter how you choose to interpret a gather step. He palms the ball and all sorts of other rare violations because he never learnt how to handle the ball as a kid. He started late in life and just lacks the instincts.

    Offensive Fouls and Physicality

    Another sore point is Giannis’s physicality on offense. Critics argue he initiates contact as much as defenders do, yet he’s rarely called for offensive fouls. His signature Euro-step or shoulder-lowering drives often see him barreling into defenders, who end up on the floor while Giannis gets the and-one call. In the 2021 Finals against the Phoenix Suns, Deandre Ayton visibly struggled to defend Giannis without fouling out, while Giannis averaged 35.2 points and 11.4 free-throw attempts per game. It is plain dangerous and unsportsmanlike yet his fans see it as “dominance” instead of what it truly is: technical foul level lack of ability to change direction even if the defender is in a legal position.

    Statistically, Giannis is called for offensive fouls sparingly—about 0.8 per game in the 2022-23 season, compared to 3.1 personal fouls drawn. Compare this to someone like Nikola Jokić, who averages 1.2 offensive fouls despite a less aggressive driving style. The disparity raises questions: Referees are obviously hesitant to penalise Giannis’s physicality because it’s his hallmark.

    Some argue this reflects a skill gap. Unlike players with polished post moves or pull-up jumpers, Giannis leans heavily on momentum and strength. When finesse isn’t an option, contact becomes inevitable, and referees seem to give him the benefit of the doubt. Social media posts often highlight this, with users joking that Giannis’s “skill” is “running through people and getting away with it.”

    Free-Throw Violations: A Technicality Overlooked?

    A less discussed but notable issue is Giannis’s free-throw routine. NBA rules require shooters to attempt their free throw within 10 seconds of receiving the ball. Giannis routinely pushes this limit, often taking 12-14 seconds as he goes through an elaborate routine. In the 2021 playoffs, fans in Brooklyn famously counted down his routine, and referees began enforcing the rule sporadically, calling violations a handful of times.

    Yet, league-wide, these calls remain rare. In the 2022-23 season, only 15 free-throw violations were called across all players, per NBA officiating logs. Giannis’s slow routine disrupts game flow, and critics see it as another area where referees cut him slack. While not a “skill” issue per se, it’s a technical violation that could be enforced more consistently.

    Why the Perception of Favoritism?

    So, why do fans and analysts feel Giannis gets preferential treatment? Several factors are at play:

    1. Star Treatment: The NBA has long been criticized for giving superstars leeway. Giannis benefits from a reality where referees hesitate to call ticky-tack fouls that could derail a marquee player’s impact. Giannis, as a global icon, fits this mould.
    2. Physicality Bias: The league’s shift toward freedom of movement has made referees more lenient on contact, especially for players like Giannis who thrive in the paint. L2M reports show that “no-calls” on physical plays are up 20% since 2018, reflecting a broader tolerance.
    3. Skill vs. Athleticism Narrative: The critique that Giannis lacks “skill” is pervasive. His limited jump shot (29% from three in 2022-23) and reliance on drives feed a narrative that he’s a one-dimensional player who needs officiating help to dominate. This however is absolutely true. Giannis is a one trick pony and – worse still – he is predictable.
    4. Highlight Culture: Social media amplifies scrutiny. Every missed call on Giannis becomes a viral clip, while similar no-calls for others (like Joel Embiid’s elbow-heavy post-ups) get less attention. Social media users often share side-by-side comparisons, like Giannis’s drives versus James Harden’s travels, to argue inconsistency.

    Calling every potential violation would bog down games. If referees whistled every possible travel or offensive foul Gianniswould spend half the game on the bench. The NBA’s emphasis on flow benefits Giannis.

    The Bigger Picture

    The officiating debate around Giannis isn’t just about him—it’s about the NBA’s evolving standards. The league wants high-scoring, fast-paced games, and that means letting physicality slide more than in the hand-check era of the 1990s. Giannis, as a player who embodies this shift, becomes a lightning rod for criticism. His violations, real or perceived, aren’t unique; they’re amplified by his dominance and the spotlight he commands.

    Does officiating “considerably help” Giannis?

    The evidence suggests he benefits from leniency, particularly on travelling and offensive fouls. Are violations overlooked due to a “lack of skill”? That’s harsher—Giannis’s game prioritises athleticism over finesse, but that’s a choice, not a flaw. The truth lies in the gray area: He plays on the edge of the rules, and referees, like fans, are often too captivated to blow the whistle. The NBA has created the Giannis myth precisely by allowing him to break the rules consistently and officials are now used to it. In playoff situations this is for sure under greater scrutiny however. At 30 Giannis is not developing any new skills and has not become any more nuanced in his game. If anything he is worse, relying more than ever on rim finishes.

    I expect this topic to come up more and more. On the one hand Giannis is less and less relevant to the NBA when it matters as he is no longer a playoff factor. Also teams have figured out how to neutralise him even with the officiating help he gets. But the difference between the Giannis myth and the hard reality is that he would not score half as much if the refs were officiating him properly.